BB Fantasy NASCAR 2026

Fantasy NASCAR Picks: Toyota / Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway

Published 2026-06-22 · bbfantasynascar.com

RaceToyota / Save Mart 350 — Race 18 of 36
TrackSonoma Raceway — 1.99-mile, 12-turn road course
Date / TimeSun, Jun 28 · 3:30 PM ET
TV / StreamTNT / truTV · Max
RadioPRN · SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
Length110 Laps · 218.9 mi
StagesS1: Laps 1–25 · S2: Laps 26–55 · Final: 56–110
Practice / QualSat, Jun 27
PoleTBD (Saturday qualifying)

Track Profile

Sonoma Raceway is the most elevation-change-heavy road course on the NASCAR schedule. Nestled in the California wine country hills north of San Francisco, the 1.99-mile, 12-turn circuit features dramatic blind crests, off-camber corners, and braking zones that punish any driver who doesn’t know exactly where the track falls away beneath them. Since 2019 NASCAR has run the full Sonoma layout (not the shorter carousel-bypass configuration used prior), adding a flowing section through the infield that rewards cars with strong mechanical grip and balanced setup through transitions. The combination of elevation change, varied corner types, and narrow sections makes Sonoma arguably the most technically demanding road course on the Cup schedule — and the one where experience at this specific venue pays the biggest dividends.

Kyle Larson has been the dominant force at Sonoma in recent years. This is his hometown track — he grew up in nearby Elk Grove — and that familiarity shows in his lap times, his ability to read the circuit’s quirks, and his aggressive use of the elevation changes to carry speed through corners that slow down less experienced road racers. With Martin Truex Jr. retired, the historical king of Sonoma is gone, but the beneficiary is a field where road course specialists have become increasingly formidable. Shane van Gisbergen, Chase Elliott, and Larson represent the top tier. The 750 HP road course package applies here, the same configuration used at COTA, Watkins Glen, and Coronado.

Key Factors This Week

Sonoma’s elevation changes create braking zone demands that simply don’t exist at any other NASCAR venue. Drivers who can carry speed over blind crests and brake late into downhill corners gain multiple car lengths per lap over those who lift early out of caution. This rewards road racing experience and penalizes oval specialists who haven’t invested in their road course technique — making Sonoma one of the sharpest splits in the sport between road course elites and the rest of the field. The grade changes also affect tire wear unpredictably depending on how hard drivers push through the uphill and downhill sections, meaning tire management strategy at Sonoma is as track-specific as the driving technique itself.

Sonoma opens the 2026 NASCAR In-Season Challenge — a five-race, 32-driver bracket worth $1 million — and marks the start of TNT Sports’ portion of the schedule, so seeding pressure adds intrigue to an already specialist-heavy weekend. Through the June 7 Michigan race (won by Denny Hamlin, his third of 2026), points leader Tyler Reddick took his first DNF of the year, trimming his cushion from 97 to 51; these standings are post-Michigan and should be confirmed against NASCAR.com’s official numbers before you set lineups. The 750 HP road-course package (up from 670) and a surface last repaved ahead of the 2024 race keep grip high and tire wear manageable, which tends to lock in track position off qualifying. Shane van Gisbergen will open as the heavy favorite on road-course form alone — Sonoma win odds and DraftKings salaries don’t post until race week, so every driver card below marks them TBD until our Wave 2 update.

Anchor your lineup here
M1. Shane van Gisbergen#97 · Trackhouse Racing · Chevrolet
There is no clearer anchor on the 2026 schedule than van Gisbergen at a road course. He won this race in 2025 by leading 97 of 110 laps from the pole — the most laps ever led by a Sonoma winner, eclipsing Jeff Gordon’s old high of 92 — and he has won Watkins Glen in both 2025 and 2026, the latter on a charge from nearly 30 seconds back over the final 18 laps. All seven of his career Cup wins have come on road or street courses, and he is already locked into The Chase, so he can race this one with house money. He is the best road racer in the series; lock him in.
97/110Laps led winning 2025 Sonoma (most ever)
WGIWatkins Glen winner 2025 & 2026
~14th2026 points (355) · Chase-locked
7Career Cup wins — all road/street
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
M2. Chase Elliott#9 · Hendrick Motorsports · Chevrolet
Elliott is the steadiest road-course play in the field and a two-time Sonoma winner (2018 and 2019). He sits fourth in the 2026 championship and remains tied for the most road-course wins among active drivers. Sonoma rewards repetition and clean execution over raw aggression, and Elliott has quietly stacked top-10s here across the NextGen era. He won’t always lead the most laps, but his floor at this track is among the safest in the field — an ideal cash-game anchor alongside a higher-ceiling specialist.
2xSonoma winner (2018, 2019)
4th2026 points (482)
RoadTied for most road-course wins (active)
Top-10sSteady recent Sonoma finishes
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
M3. Kyle Larson#5 · Hendrick Motorsports · Chevrolet
Sonoma is Larson’s home race — he grew up in nearby Elk Grove — and it shows in how he attacks the elevation changes. He won here in 2021 and 2024, owns four Sonoma poles, and led laps and took stage points in his 2024 victory. Sixth in 2026 points with elite all-track speed, he carries genuine dominator upside whenever the series visits wine country. If he qualifies up front on Saturday, he can control the race from the pole and pile up the laps-led and stage points that decide fantasy weeks.
2xSonoma winner (2021, 2024)
6th2026 points (453)
4Career Sonoma poles
HomeElk Grove, CA native
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
M4. Tyler Reddick#45 · 23XI Racing · Toyota
The points leader (669, five wins) is also a legitimate road-course winner. Reddick won the 2026 COTA race and has prior road-course victories at COTA, Road America, and the Indianapolis road course. His 23XI Toyota has been one of the most complete cars in the field all season, and even after his first DNF of 2026 at Michigan he holds a 51-point cushion. Road courses are a true strength for him, not a survival exercise — start him with confidence and expect him to run inside the top five.
1st2026 points leader (669)
5Wins in 2026
COTA2026 road-course winner
3+Career road wins (COTA, Road America, Indy RC)
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
Where the leverage lives
V1. Chris Buescher#17 · RFK Racing · Ford
Buescher finished runner-up at Sonoma in 2022 and remains one of the more underrated road-course runners in the garage. RFK Racing has built a consistently strong road-course program, and Buescher’s eighth-place standing in 2026 points reflects a season of quietly clean results. At a track where attrition and track position decide finishing spots, his knack for staying out of trouble makes him a leverage play if his salary comes in soft — exactly the kind of mid-priced road racer who can quietly post a top-10.
2nd2022 Sonoma runner-up
8th2026 points (424)
RFKStrong road-course program
CleanLow-attrition road runner
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
V2. Ty Gibbs#54 · Joe Gibbs Racing · Toyota
Gibbs has emerged as one of the better young road racers in the series and sits fifth in 2026 points. His Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota has shown real road-course speed this season, and Watkins Glen 2026 — where he led late before van Gisbergen ran him down — proved his ceiling on this style of track. He’s a value play with genuine must-start upside if Saturday qualifying confirms the single-lap pace. Watch his practice long-runs closely before locking him in as a tournament leverage piece.
5th2026 points (470)
WGILed late at Watkins Glen 2026
JGRToyota road-course speed
YoungEmerging road racer
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
High-variance darts
S1. Michael McDowell#71 · Spire Motorsports · Chevrolet
McDowell is a sneaky-good road racer who finished runner-up at Sonoma in 2024 and again at Watkins Glen in 2026. Now in the Spire No. 71, he carries legitimate road-course pace into a track that fits him well. Around 20th in points, he’ll likely be priced as a mid-tier dart — exactly the profile of a Sonoma sleeper who can post a top-10 and a pile of place-differential points if he starts deep in the field.
2nd2024 Sonoma runner-up
2ndWatkins Glen 2026 runner-up
~20th2026 points (286)
SpireNo. 71 road-course pace
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
S2. Daniel Suárez#7 · Spire Motorsports · Chevrolet
Suárez won at Sonoma in 2022 — his first career Cup victory — and owns a strong NextGen history at the track. Now driving the Spire No. 7, he added the 2026 Coca-Cola 600 to his résumé, his first crown-jewel win. He sits ninth in points and brings road-course comfort and a proven Sonoma ceiling. At a sleeper price, his win equity here is higher than his salary is likely to suggest — a smart tournament differential.
2022Sonoma winner (first Cup win)
9th2026 points (418)
600Won 2026 Coca-Cola 600
SpireNo. 7 (new for 2026)
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
S3. Ross Chastain#1 · Trackhouse Racing · Chevrolet
Chastain has quietly built one of the better NextGen average finishes at Sonoma, stringing together consistent top-10s at a track that rewards his aggressive-but-controlled style. His Trackhouse equipment is strong on road courses — the same shop that fields van Gisbergen — and he tends to maximize track position on Sonoma’s narrow layout. A reliable, lower-owned sleeper with a top-five ceiling on the right day, especially if cautions shuffle the field.
Top-10sConsistent Sonoma finishes
NextGenStrong Sonoma average finish
TrackhouseSVG’s road-course stable
Track PosMaximizes Sonoma’s narrow layout
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
Avoid or use surgically
X1. Joey Logano#22 · Team Penske · Ford
Logano carries name value and a champion’s pedigree, but road courses have become a relative weakness for the Penske camp in 2026 — he finished last at Watkins Glen this season. Sonoma’s elevation and limited passing don’t play to his strengths, and he’ll likely be priced on reputation rather than recent road-course form. This is a Wave 1 lean to revisit after qualifying: if he flashes real practice speed Saturday, reassess.
LastFinished last at Watkins Glen 2026
22Penske Ford — road slump
NameReputation > recent road form
LeanRevisit after qualifying
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
X2. Brad Keselowski#6 · RFK Racing · Ford
Keselowski is another name-brand driver whose Sonoma and road-course record doesn’t match his reputation. His strength on ovals doesn’t translate cleanly to wine country, and he has historically posted modest finishes here. Unless his price drops into true value territory, there are better road-course options at similar salaries. Treat this as a price-dependent fade pending Saturday’s sessions.
ModestHistorically soft at Sonoma
RFKBetter on ovals than road
NamePriced on reputation
LeanPrice-dependent fade
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
X3. Denny Hamlin#11 · Joe Gibbs Racing · Toyota
Hamlin is fresh off a Michigan win and sits second in points (618, three wins), which will make him popular and expensive this week. But road courses — and Sonoma specifically — are the softest spot on an otherwise elite résumé. He can grind out a quiet top-15, yet his dominator ceiling here is capped relative to the true road aces. Fade him at a premium price and reallocate to a specialist; reassess only if he surprises in qualifying.
2nd2026 points (618, 3 wins)
MichiganWon June 7
RoadSoftest spot on résumé
PremiumLikely overpriced here
TBDOdds TBD · DK TBD (Wave 2)
Wine Country Road Course Context

Key Numbers to Know

1.99 mi12-turn road course — ~160 ft elevation change
110Laps (218.9 miles total)
25/55/110Stage ends (S1 / S2 / Final)
750 HPRoad-course package (up from 670)

Reference Marks

2025SVG led 97 of 110 — most ever by a Sonoma winner
5Jeff Gordon’s all-time Sonoma wins (record)
4Truex Sonoma wins (now retired)
97.771Logano qualifying record, mph (Jun 2024)

What Separates Sonoma

No other road course on the NASCAR schedule has Sonoma’s elevation-change profile. The blind crests and downhill braking zones reward track-specific knowledge that only comes from repetition at this exact circuit — which is why Larson’s home-track advantage is genuine, and why specialists like van Gisbergen and Elliott separate themselves from the oval-first crowd. For fantasy, this makes Sonoma one of the most predictable road courses at the top of the field (the aces are nearly always must-starts) while being wide open in the middle tier, where elevation-specific skills decide who climbs and who fades. There is no cleanly published all-time race-average-speed record at Sonoma — caution counts swing it — so the qualifying mark above is the only hard record worth citing.

Wave 2 update lands after Saturday

Practice and qualifying run Saturday, June 27. Updated picks with the full starting grid, practice long-run notes, confirmed DraftKings salaries, opening odds, and post-qualifying consensus will publish in our Wave 2 update.

Road-course qualifying matters more at Sonoma than almost anywhere else: the 1.99-mile layout offers limited passing room, so track position off Saturday’s grid often dictates Sunday’s ceiling. Watch which specialists — van Gisbergen, Larson, Elliott, Gibbs — find single-lap speed, and whether the 750 HP package and the 2024 repave keep tire wear low enough to lock in the front rows. Practice long-run pace will tell us whether the dominators can stretch tires through the 25- and 30-lap stage segments or whether strategy and cautions blow the race open. We’ll fold the grid, long-run notes, and confirmed salaries and odds into the Wave 2 update.

This is the Wave 1 (pre-practice, pre-qualifying) preview for the Toyota / Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. A Wave 2 update with the full starting grid, practice long-run notes, confirmed DraftKings salaries, and opening odds will publish after Saturday’s sessions on June 27. For more fantasy NASCAR strategy, see our 2026 Strategy Guide, Season-Long Rankings, or return to the Weekly Picks Hub.